La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 15:15
11.6657.5%
X3.6326.3%
25.8916.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LWWWDDLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Alaves
LWDWLLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.10
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.70
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.30
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.50
On target
2.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%53.3%-4.2 pp
Draw26.3%25.3%-1.0 pp
Away16.2%21.3%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.631.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-013.3%
2-112.0%
2-09.3%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.753.61
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Away FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away53.6%