La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 20:00
15.8916.2%
X4.0423.6%
21.5860.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
DLLWDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Real Madrid
WWLDWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.50
Against
3.50
8.60
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
1.10goals per matchReal Madrid conceded1.00Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.80goals per matchValladolid conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.50
8.60
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
29.40
Match total
24.40
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%14.3%-1.9 pp
Draw23.6%14.3%-9.3 pp
Away60.3%71.4%+11.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
0.89–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-222.9%
0-114.3%
0-211.4%
1-311.4%
0-48.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.94–6.40
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.534.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away70.0%