La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 17:30
12.4838.4%
X3.2129.7%
22.9931.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DLDWLDLDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Celta
LDDLWDLLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.50
Against
3.30
10.10
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.50
Matchup

Celta attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.50
Corners against
3.30
10.10
Match total
7.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.90
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
30.50
Match total
29.80

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.6%+0.1 pp
Draw29.7%28.9%-0.8 pp
Away31.9%32.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.181.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-013.2%
0-111.7%
0-09.6%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.74
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%16.2%–36.4% CI
Draw FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Away FT35.3%25.0%–47.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away52.9%