La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 13:00
13.7025.8%
X3.2029.8%
22.1544.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DWDDLDDLLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Eibar
WWDWDLDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.20
Against
4.40
7.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.00goals per match
Eibar conceded1.10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.40
7.30
Match total
9.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.70
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
27.60
Match total
26.50

Shots

5.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.00
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.8%21.4%-4.4 pp
Draw29.8%35.7%+5.9 pp
Away44.4%42.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.881.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-123.8%
0-014.3%
1-011.9%
2-211.9%
1-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.385.67
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.8%
Away55.6%