La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 15:15
11.4366.6%
X4.6920.3%
27.2813.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WLWLWWWWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Valencia
WLLDDDLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.60
Against
5.10
11.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Valencia conceded1.40
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.10goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.10
11.10
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.50
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.6%73.7%+7.1 pp
Draw20.3%22.4%+2.1 pp
Away13.1%3.9%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

2.510.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.5%
1-113.2%
2-110.5%
3-09.2%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.82
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–15.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away33.3%