La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 20:00
11.3073.5%
X5.8216.4%
29.5110.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WDLWWWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Alaves
LLWDWLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Against
5.40
11.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.30goals per match
Alaves conceded1.40
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.40
11.30
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.80
Match total
26.30

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
7.50
On target
2.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.5%72.7%-0.8 pp
Draw16.4%21.2%+4.8 pp
Away10.1%6.1%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.300.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
3-012.1%
1-19.1%
1-09.1%
2-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.363.48
Average total10.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.8%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away25.0%