La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 20:00
11.6258.9%
X3.6726.0%
26.3315.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Celta
DLDDLWDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.90
0.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Celta conceded1.40
Matchup

Celta attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
7.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.20
Match total
31.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
19%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.9%46.5%-12.4 pp
Draw26.0%37.2%+11.2 pp
Away15.1%16.3%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS67.4%

Historical average

1.811.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.9%
2-214.0%
2-19.3%
3-09.3%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.443.60
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.520.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away57.1%