La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 13:00
11.4963.9%
X4.1722.8%
27.1813.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DLWWWDDLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Cadiz
WWWWLDLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.40goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.40
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.80goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.90
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.80
Match total
26.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%70.6%+6.7 pp
Draw22.8%17.6%-5.2 pp
Away13.3%11.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.790.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-029.4%
1-114.7%
2-114.7%
3-18.8%
2-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.823.09
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.523.5%
Over 11.514.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.7%
Away36.8%