La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 20:00
12.7334.6%
X3.5826.4%
22.4338.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
WWLWDDLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Real Madrid
DWWWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
3.60
6.70
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.20
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Leganes conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.60
6.70
Match total
7.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.00
Match total
4.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
33.70
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.60
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%43.8%+9.1 pp
Draw26.4%31.3%+4.8 pp
Away38.9%25.0%-13.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS81.3%

Historical average

1.631.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
2-118.8%
3-112.5%
2-26.3%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.133.94
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.518.8%
Over 11.512.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away38.5%