La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 20:00
12.0346.9%
X3.4727.4%
23.7025.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
LWWWDWLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DDDLLWDLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.00
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.20goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.10Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.40goals per matchGranada conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.00
9.50
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
30.30
Match total
25.20
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%50.5%+3.6 pp
Draw27.4%26.8%-0.6 pp
Away25.7%22.7%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
1.56–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-011.3%
2-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-19.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.78–4.32
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.537.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.3%
Away37.0%