La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 20:00
15.6017.0%
X3.7425.4%
21.6557.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Espanol
DDDWDWLLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Celta
LDLDDDDWLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
7.40
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Espanol attack
1.00goals per matchCelta conceded1.40Matchup
Celta attack
0.70goals per matchEspanol conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
7.40
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Match total
6.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
32.30
Match total
27.90
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%15.4%-1.6 pp
Draw25.4%7.7%-17.7 pp
Away57.6%76.9%+19.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
0.85–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-130.8%
1-315.4%
1-215.4%
2-17.7%
0-37.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.69–4.69
Average total8.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.523.1%
Over 10.515.4%
Over 11.515.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Remaining goals
0.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home9.1%
Away63.6%