La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 16:00
15.4417.5%
X4.3022.1%
21.5760.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DDLWWDWLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
DDLWLWDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
8.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.30
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
8.20
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.20
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
29.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.30
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.5%14.3%-3.2 pp
Draw22.1%38.1%+16.0 pp
Away60.5%47.6%-12.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.051.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.3%
2-214.3%
1-19.5%
1-49.5%
0-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.576.00
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away50.0%