La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 16:00
15.4417.5%
X4.3022.1%
21.5760.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
DDLWWDWLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
DDLWLWDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
8.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
1.00goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.30Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.80goals per matchAlaves conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
8.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
29.40
Match total
25.80
Shots
8.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.30
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.5%14.3%-3.2 pp
Draw22.1%38.1%+16.0 pp
Away60.5%47.6%-12.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.05–1.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.3%
2-214.3%
1-19.5%
1-49.5%
0-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.57–6.00
Average total10.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away50.0%