La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
11.5462.0%
X4.2122.7%
26.2215.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DWWWDWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Espanol
LWLDLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
8.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Espanol conceded1.40
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.70goals per match
Valencia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
8.40
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.70
Match total
28.00

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%63.8%+1.8 pp
Draw22.7%21.3%-1.4 pp
Away15.3%14.9%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.910.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-012.8%
1-012.8%
1-110.6%
2-010.6%
2-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.70
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.548.9%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away25.0%