La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
12.4139.5%
X3.4227.8%
22.9132.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LWWWWDLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Sevilla
DWLLWDDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.60
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.80goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.00
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%40.0%+0.5 pp
Draw27.8%30.5%+2.7 pp
Away32.7%29.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.401.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-011.4%
1-09.5%
0-18.6%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.69
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.561.0%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI
Draw FT45.9%31.0%–61.6% CI
Away FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away48.6%