La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
11.4565.7%
X4.7919.9%
26.6114.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
DWWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Villarreal
WWWDLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.50goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
6.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%62.9%-2.8 pp
Draw19.9%25.7%+5.8 pp
Away14.4%11.4%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS65.7%

Historical average

1.940.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-114.3%
3-111.4%
0-08.6%
3-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.094.03
Average total11.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%