La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
12.0646.3%
X3.4727.5%
23.6326.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
LLWLWLLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Granada
LLLLWDDDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.40goals per match
Granada conceded1.20
Matchup

Granada attack

1.10goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
28.20
Match total
30.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%44.4%-1.8 pp
Draw27.5%33.3%+5.9 pp
Away26.3%22.2%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.331.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
1-012.5%
2-112.5%
0-06.9%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.04
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Draw FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.0%
Away52.0%