La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
13.5626.8%
X2.9532.3%
22.3340.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Getafe
WLWWLDDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Madrid
WLLDDDWWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.70
8.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Getafe attack
1.00goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.10Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.50goals per matchGetafe conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.70
8.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
4.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.80
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
30.30
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%23.5%-3.2 pp
Draw32.3%35.3%+3.0 pp
Away40.9%41.2%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.511.8%
BTTS41.2%
Historical average
0.88–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.6%
1-117.6%
0-011.8%
0-211.8%
1-011.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.59–5.29
Average total8.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away38.5%