La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
11.1582.7%
X8.0011.9%
217.445.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Osasuna
LDLWLDLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.90
Against
5.00
7.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.10goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.50Matchup
Osasuna attack
0.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.00
7.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
26.00
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.80
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.7%100.0%+17.3 pp
Draw11.9%0.0%-11.9 pp
Away5.5%0.0%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS23.1%
Historical average
3.08–0.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-038.5%
5-015.4%
6-07.7%
3-17.7%
4-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.62–3.00
Average total11.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.561.5%
Over 11.546.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away40.0%