La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
11.8152.6%
X3.4127.9%
24.9119.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
DDLLWDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leganes
DDLLWLDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.60
Against
3.30
10.30
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
0.80goals per matchLeganes conceded1.10Matchup
Leganes attack
0.70goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.30
10.30
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.20
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
26.40
Match total
29.70
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.6%76.9%+24.3 pp
Draw27.9%15.4%-12.6 pp
Away19.4%7.7%-11.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.530.8%
Over 2.57.7%
Over 3.50.0%
BTTS15.4%
Historical average
1.08–0.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-061.5%
2-015.4%
1-17.7%
0-07.7%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–3.92
Average total9.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.515.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away40.0%