La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 18:30
12.2841.8%
X3.5027.2%
23.0731.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWLWWLWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sociedad
LDWLLLWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.00
Against
4.30
9.60
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.30
9.60
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.90
Match total
28.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.40
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%45.3%+3.5 pp
Draw27.2%32.6%+5.4 pp
Away31.0%22.1%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.521.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
2-011.6%
2-110.5%
1-010.5%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.72
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.6%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away45.8%