La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 18:30
13.3728.2%
X3.1330.4%
22.3041.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
LWWLWDDLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Valencia
WDLLLDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
6.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded2.20
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
6.30
Match total
9.40
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.80
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
32.80
Match total
24.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
5.90N=10
3.90
On target
1.70
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%20.0%-8.2 pp
Draw30.4%26.7%-3.7 pp
Away41.4%53.3%+12.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.131.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-123.3%
2-216.7%
0-210.0%
2-36.7%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.20
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away50.0%