La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 13:00
13.3928.1%
X3.2429.4%
22.2542.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
LDDDWDWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Eibar
LDLDLLLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.60
7.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.20goals per match
Eibar conceded1.80
Matchup

Eibar attack

0.60goals per match
Espanol conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.60
7.00
Match total
10.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.10
Match total
3.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
32.40
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%22.7%-5.4 pp
Draw29.4%36.4%+6.9 pp
Away42.4%40.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS40.9%

Historical average

1.181.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.7%
0-018.2%
2-213.6%
1-29.1%
3-04.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.275.32
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away28.6%