La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 21:00
11.4964.2%
X4.1822.9%
27.4112.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
LWWDWWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Betis
DDLDDLLLLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Betis conceded1.50
Matchup

Betis attack

0.80goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.00
Match total
31.20

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%60.9%-3.3 pp
Draw22.9%21.7%-1.1 pp
Away12.9%17.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.910.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.7%
1-117.4%
3-013.0%
5-08.7%
3-24.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.652.91
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.517.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%