La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 18:30
19.639.9%
X4.9919.1%
21.3471.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
DDLDWLDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Barcelona
WDDLWLWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
8.80
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.30Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.80goals per matchValladolid conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
8.80
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
27.10
Match total
25.30
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.00
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.9%20.0%+10.1 pp
Draw19.1%13.3%-5.7 pp
Away71.0%66.7%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
0.93–2.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.0%
1-313.3%
0-413.3%
0-213.3%
2-46.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–6.67
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.573.3%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.546.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals70.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away80.0%