La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 21:00
11.2278.0%
X6.3315.0%
213.667.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WDWWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Alaves
LLWDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.50
0.40
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.50
0.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Alaves conceded2.10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.50goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
26.40
Match total
29.40

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
6.30
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.0%100.0%+22.0 pp
Draw15.0%0.0%-15.0 pp
Away7.0%0.0%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.920.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-133.3%
2-025.0%
2-116.7%
5-08.3%
4-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.50
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%60.8%–94.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away22.2%