La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 18:30
11.7454.7%
X3.7025.7%
24.8819.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DLWWWWDLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Granada
LLLLLWDDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.60goals per match
Granada conceded1.20
Matchup

Granada attack

0.80goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Match total
6.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
25.00
Match total
31.60

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%54.5%-0.2 pp
Draw25.7%25.0%-0.7 pp
Away19.5%20.5%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.500.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
2-112.5%
1-212.5%
0-011.4%
1-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.85
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI
Away FT6.7%1.8%–21.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away23.3%