La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 18:30
12.5038.1%
X3.0531.2%
23.1030.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
LWWDWLLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Leganes
DDDLLWLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.20
Against
2.70
10.50
Total
6.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.40goals per match
Leganes conceded1.20
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.80goals per match
Eibar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.70
10.50
Match total
6.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
25.90
Match total
29.40

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%42.5%+4.4 pp
Draw31.2%30.0%-1.2 pp
Away30.7%27.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.251.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
1-016.3%
2-113.8%
2-08.8%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.13
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.1%
Away51.9%