La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 21:00
11.1484.0%
X8.4111.4%
220.704.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
DWWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Espanol
LLWLDLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.00
Against
4.70
7.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.00goals per match
Espanol conceded1.50
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.70
7.30
Match total
8.70
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.20
Match total
28.80

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.70
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.0%100.0%+16.0 pp
Draw11.4%0.0%-11.4 pp
Away4.6%0.0%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.570.6%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

3.470.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-023.5%
3-117.6%
1-017.6%
4-011.8%
5-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

9.241.94
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.570.6%
Over 10.564.7%
Over 11.547.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away25.0%