La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 19:30
12.6136.4%
X3.0830.9%
22.9132.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
WWLWWLDDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Villarreal
LWWWDLLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Getafe conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.80
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

18.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
31.00
Match total
26.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%37.3%+0.9 pp
Draw30.9%32.5%+1.7 pp
Away32.7%30.1%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.221.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-012.0%
0-110.8%
2-19.6%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.33
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.5%
Away34.5%