La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 21:00
14.4121.7%
X3.1630.3%
21.9948.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDDDWWLWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWLLDDDWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%0.0%-21.7 pp
Draw30.3%50.0%+19.7 pp
Away48.1%50.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

0.671.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-133.3%
1-216.7%
0-38.3%
0-58.3%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.583.67
Average total7.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.525.0%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.58.3%
Over 11.58.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away60.0%