La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-06 · 21:00
11.4665.3%
X4.3621.9%
27.4112.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WLDWDDWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Eibar
WLDLDLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.90
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.40goals per match
Eibar conceded1.80
Matchup

Eibar attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
27.40
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%65.0%-0.3 pp
Draw21.9%25.0%+3.1 pp
Away12.9%10.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

2.000.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
1-120.0%
3-010.0%
4-110.0%
4-05.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.102.75
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.535.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.515.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%51.8%–86.8% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals22.7%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.4%
Away22.7%