La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 21:00
14.3122.1%
X3.9824.0%
21.7753.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LDWLWWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Barcelona
WWDDLWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.30
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.60goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
26.80
Match total
25.20

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.10
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%21.4%-0.7 pp
Draw24.0%17.9%-6.1 pp
Away53.9%60.7%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.072.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.9%
2-17.1%
1-07.1%
0-07.1%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.186.11
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away50.0%