La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 13:00
15.1218.6%
X3.7425.5%
21.7155.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WWDDLLWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
WDDWWWLLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
3.90
10.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
1.80
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.90
10.60
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.40
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
27.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
4.70
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%4.2%-14.5 pp
Draw25.5%33.3%+7.8 pp
Away55.8%62.5%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

0.881.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
0-116.7%
1-216.7%
0-38.3%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.925.79
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away61.5%