La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 21:00
12.8933.0%
X3.2229.6%
22.5537.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
DWLWWWDWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valencia
LWDLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.20
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.30goals per match
Valencia conceded2.20
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.80goals per match
Granada conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.80
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
30.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
3.40
On target
1.70
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%36.1%+3.1 pp
Draw29.6%29.5%-0.1 pp
Away37.4%34.4%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.211.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.4%
0-113.1%
1-111.5%
0-09.8%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.115.07
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away56.5%