La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 18:30
12.6036.7%
X2.7834.3%
23.2829.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
DDDLDWLDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Alaves
WLLWDLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.80goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.70goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.00
Match total
28.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
2.90
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%25.0%-11.7 pp
Draw34.3%50.0%+15.7 pp
Away29.1%25.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.58.3%
Over 3.50.0%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

0.670.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-133.3%
0-016.7%
1-016.7%
0-116.7%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.58
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%