La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 16:00
12.1843.7%
X3.4028.0%
23.3828.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
LDDDDWWLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Betis
WDDLDDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.00
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.40goals per matchBetis conceded1.50Matchup
Betis attack
0.90goals per matchCelta conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.00
9.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.90
Match total
30.50
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.8%+2.1 pp
Draw28.0%25.8%-2.2 pp
Away28.2%28.4%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.43–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-011.6%
2-111.0%
2-09.0%
0-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–4.25
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Draw FT38.8%26.4%–52.8% CI
Away FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.3%
Away42.9%