La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-02 · 18:30
11.9050.2%
X3.4227.9%
24.3621.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WDLWWWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Espanol
LLLWLDLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.80goals per match
Espanol conceded1.60
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.70goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Match total
6.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
24.40
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%52.8%+2.6 pp
Draw27.9%30.3%+2.4 pp
Away21.9%16.9%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.530.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
2-114.6%
1-012.4%
0-010.1%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.83
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Draw FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Away FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away40.7%