La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 21:00
12.8133.9%
X3.4927.3%
22.4638.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
LWWLWLDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Villarreal
LLWWWDLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Betis attack

2.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Betis conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.40
Match total
27.20

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%30.9%-3.0 pp
Draw27.3%36.4%+9.0 pp
Away38.8%32.7%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.441.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
1-210.9%
2-29.1%
2-19.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.495.24
Average total10.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.2%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.9%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals68.2%
3+ goals31.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%