La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 21:00
12.8133.9%
X3.4927.3%
22.4638.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Betis
LWWLWLDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Villarreal
LLWWWDLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Betis attack
2.00goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.30Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.20goals per matchBetis conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.40
Match total
27.20
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%30.9%-3.0 pp
Draw27.3%36.4%+9.0 pp
Away38.8%32.7%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.44–1.44
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.9%
1-210.9%
2-29.1%
2-19.1%
0-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–5.24
Average total10.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.2%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.9%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals68.2%
3+ goals31.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away54.5%