La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:30
12.5138.0%
X3.0531.3%
23.1030.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
WWDWWWDWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Ath Bilbao
WLDDDLLWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.60goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.40Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.40goals per matchValencia conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
27.30
Match total
26.60
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.30
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%31.9%-6.1 pp
Draw31.3%29.8%-1.5 pp
Away30.8%38.3%+7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.512.8%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.06–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.1%
0-114.9%
2-110.6%
1-28.5%
2-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.11
Average total9.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.2%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away42.9%