La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:30
12.3440.8%
X3.0131.7%
23.4627.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WLDDLWWDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Granada
LLLLLLWDDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Granada conceded1.40
Matchup

Granada attack

0.60goals per match
Alaves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
6.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
28.40
Match total
30.70

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.50
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%50.9%+10.2 pp
Draw31.7%30.9%-0.8 pp
Away27.6%18.2%-9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.510.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
0-012.7%
1-112.7%
2-010.9%
3-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.36
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Draw FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away52.2%