La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 20:00
14.5021.3%
X3.2329.6%
21.9549.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
LLWWLWDDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sevilla
WWDWLLWDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.30
6.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.60goals per match
Leganes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.30
6.30
Match total
9.20
10%1/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.80
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
33.10
Match total
30.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.10
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%14.3%-7.0 pp
Draw29.6%33.3%+3.7 pp
Away49.1%52.4%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

0.861.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.8%
0-119.0%
1-29.5%
0-29.5%
1-39.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.384.81
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away69.2%