La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 16:00
12.2043.3%
X3.5426.9%
23.2129.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DLDWLWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Valencia
WLWDLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.20
Against
5.80
11.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Valencia conceded2.10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.80
11.10
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.90
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.10
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.5%+0.2 pp
Draw26.9%30.6%+3.6 pp
Away29.7%25.9%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.441.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-013.0%
2-09.3%
2-19.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.57
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Draw FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Away FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away41.9%