La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 21:00
11.3371.8%
X4.7620.1%
211.778.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWLWWDWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Alaves
LWLLWDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Against
6.00
10.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
2.20
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.60goals per matchAlaves conceded2.20Matchup
Alaves attack
0.80goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.00
10.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.80
Match total
28.80
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.80
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.8%60.0%-11.8 pp
Draw20.1%25.0%+4.9 pp
Away8.1%15.0%+6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.60–0.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-015.0%
1-110.0%
3-010.0%
2-210.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.10
Average total9.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.515.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.0%43.3%–81.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away25.0%