La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 16:00
15.1718.4%
X4.0523.5%
21.6458.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
LLDDDDWWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
LWWDDLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.20goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.40Matchup
Barcelona attack
1.50goals per matchCelta conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
28.20
Match total
24.50
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%28.6%+10.2 pp
Draw23.5%19.0%-4.5 pp
Away58.1%52.4%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
0-214.3%
2-09.5%
2-19.5%
1-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.95–5.71
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away63.6%