La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 16:00
15.1718.4%
X4.0523.5%
21.6458.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LLDDDDWWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
LWWDDLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.40
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
28.20
Match total
24.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%28.6%+10.2 pp
Draw23.5%19.0%-4.5 pp
Away58.1%52.4%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.141.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-214.3%
2-09.5%
2-19.5%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.71
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away63.6%