La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 18:30
12.8233.8%
X3.3628.3%
22.5137.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Eibar
LLLWWDWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Valencia
LWLWDLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Eibar attack
1.30goals per matchValencia conceded2.30Matchup
Valencia attack
1.10goals per matchEibar conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.80
Match total
23.70
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
4.60
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%28.7%-5.0 pp
Draw28.3%29.8%+1.5 pp
Away37.9%41.5%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.18–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.9%
1-114.9%
1-29.6%
2-18.5%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.46–5.02
Average total10.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals8.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.3%
Away64.7%