La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 21:00
11.1583.0%
X8.3311.5%
217.415.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
DWWDWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Mallorca
LLLDLLLDWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.80goals per matchMallorca conceded2.20Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.00goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.40
Match total
28.40
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.00
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.0%100.0%+17.0 pp
Draw11.5%0.0%-11.5 pp
Away5.5%0.0%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.584.6%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
3.62–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-023.1%
4-123.1%
4-015.4%
3-115.4%
1-015.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.54–1.92
Average total9.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away38.5%