La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 18:30
12.0746.1%
X3.2329.5%
23.9224.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
DWDLWWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Celta
LWLLDLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
6.70
9.30
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.90goals per matchCelta conceded1.50Matchup
Celta attack
1.00goals per matchSociedad conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.70
9.30
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Match total
7.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.80
Match total
27.50
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%44.6%-1.5 pp
Draw29.5%43.1%+13.5 pp
Away24.3%12.3%-12.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS63.1%
Historical average
1.43–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-127.7%
0-012.3%
2-110.8%
1-09.2%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.45
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away45.5%