La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 18:30
12.0746.1%
X3.2329.5%
23.9224.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DWDLWWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Celta
LWLLDLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
6.70
9.30
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.90goals per match
Celta conceded1.50
Matchup

Celta attack

1.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.70
9.30
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Match total
7.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%44.6%-1.5 pp
Draw29.5%43.1%+13.5 pp
Away24.3%12.3%-12.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS63.1%

Historical average

1.430.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-127.7%
0-012.3%
2-110.8%
1-09.2%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.45
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away45.5%