La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 18:30
12.6136.5%
X3.4227.8%
22.6735.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDLDWLWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sevilla
DWWDWLLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.80
Against
4.60
10.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.00
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.50goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.60
10.90
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
25.60
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%45.0%+8.5 pp
Draw27.8%22.9%-4.9 pp
Away35.7%32.1%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.441.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-112.8%
1-211.0%
1-011.0%
0-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.83
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals59.4%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away56.3%