La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 21:00
14.1623.0%
X4.1423.1%
21.7754.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LDWDLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
LWWDDWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.40
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.50
On target
5.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%23.1%+0.1 pp
Draw23.1%19.2%-3.8 pp
Away54.0%57.7%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.081.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
0-211.5%
1-07.7%
0-07.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.046.12
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away38.5%