La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 13:00
11.9449.3%
X3.2529.4%
24.4821.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WLLDDDDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Alaves
LLWLLWDLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
9.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
1.40
Total goals
2.90
30%3/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
9.20
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.60
Match total
28.90

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.3%46.4%-2.8 pp
Draw29.4%32.1%+2.7 pp
Away21.3%21.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.430.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
0-014.3%
0-110.7%
1-17.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.793.75
Average total8.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.4%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.521.4%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away50.0%